Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.570364 12.428493 14.465820 16.858531 19.584404 22.585700 26.132664
2025-04-13 6.867066 9.204150 12.055445 15.756749 20.397354 25.983418 33.171974
2025-04-20 5.483810 8.140104 11.657016 16.575623 23.185357 31.658400 43.221523
2025-04-27 4.650398 7.519372 11.583232 17.619415 26.188321 37.722295 54.183769
2025-05-04 3.880933 6.788700 11.167898 18.030822 28.252542 42.602293 63.877451
2025-05-11 3.191921 6.019777 10.532595 17.966134 29.534537 46.402515 72.274382
2025-05-18 2.603564 5.283946 9.806884 17.617286 30.280854 49.402863 79.654139
2025-05-25 2.132633 4.649032 9.129713 17.221492 30.854173 52.115907 86.719165
2025-06-01 1.752590 4.098999 8.501091 16.799374 31.296176 54.599564 93.534868
2025-06-08 1.386567 3.493955 7.669919 15.898121 30.813238 55.530648 97.926247
2025-06-15 1.264009 3.371909 7.725210 16.590735 33.104868 61.088212 110.007558
2025-06-22 1.126720 3.187379 7.626406 16.972539 34.862026 65.852013 121.052015
2025-06-29 0.911049 2.786079 7.054914 16.438567 35.036559 68.168519 128.593729
2025-07-06 0.704863 2.353434 6.344600 15.541562 34.468462 69.210704 134.178979
2025-07-13 0.645824 2.294970 6.463084 16.385812 37.337825 76.584324 151.220873
2025-07-20 0.603696 2.273083 6.662508 17.426136 40.686105 85.052755 170.699645
2025-07-27 0.533571 2.147164 6.584810 17.834935 42.781514 91.329280 186.605208
2025-08-03 0.452720 1.961184 6.318817 17.771086 43.877609 95.778083 199.424788
2025-08-10 0.374358 1.755277 5.957663 17.425547 44.326221 98.989809 210.114249
2025-08-17 0.307844 1.565658 5.600575 17.033478 44.621631 101.900268 220.379480
2025-08-24 0.252028 1.393347 5.254957 16.615338 44.805450 104.580297 230.332341
2025-08-31 0.194902 1.187819 4.759330 15.722624 43.792816 104.723949 235.326912
2025-09-07 0.180457 1.166016 4.841695 16.408671 46.566692 112.918097 256.669330